Roskilde 0-0 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.70/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
+11% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
09.03.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
07.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
0-0
AWAY Middelfart
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde and Middelfart played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 49% of the ball to Middelfart's 51%, shots finished 2-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roskilde had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roskilde and 1.00 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Middelfart?

Roskilde 0-0 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 41%, draw 27%, Middelfart 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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