West Ham United 1-2 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 May 2025

West Ham United
1-2 HT 0-1
Nottingham Forest
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.38
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.27
X/2
14%
5.39
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.28/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.95
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.1 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.48 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
341 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.02.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
12.11.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
25.02.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
14.08.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
05.01.2014 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK

West Ham United 1-2 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.13 xG 1.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
434 Passes 256
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest squeezed past West Ham United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nottingham Forest found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, West Ham United had 61% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Ham United and 2.17 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest?

West Ham United 1-2 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 33%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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