Brentford 2-3 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
8%
5.1
X/2
18%
7.66
X/X
8%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.45
2/2
12%
5.13
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.27
-6% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
23.0 Crosses 20.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fulham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
04.05.2024 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.08.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
23.07.2023 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford HAZPL
06.03.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
2-3
AWAY Fulham
2.87 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
292 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham squeezed past Brentford 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Fulham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brentford had 51% of the ball to Fulham's 49%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.87 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brentford.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brentford and 1.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Fulham?

Brentford 2-3 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brentford 40%, draw 23%, Fulham 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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