Everton 2-0 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.53/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.10
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
26.3 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
260 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Southampton Southampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
17.09.2024 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNLK
14.01.2023 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
01.10.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
19.02.2022 Southampton Southampton 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
14.08.2021 Everton Everton 3-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-0
AWAY Southampton
2.73 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
439 Passes 441
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton got the better of Southampton 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Everton had 50% of the ball to Southampton's 50%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.73 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Everton vs Southampton?

Everton 2-0 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Everton 52%, draw 24%, Southampton 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
18 May 2025
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