Southampton 1-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Southampton
1-0 HT 0-0
Everton
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Southampton vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.63
X/2
19%
5.66
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
9%
3.77
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.04/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.28
-43% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
15.4 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Southampton vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Everton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
394 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2024 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNLK
14.01.2023 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
01.10.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
19.02.2022 Southampton Southampton 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
14.08.2021 Everton Everton 3-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
01.03.2021 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP

Southampton 1-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
1-0
AWAY Everton
0.74 xG 1.56
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
540 Passes 247
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton nicked a narrow win over Everton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Southampton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Southampton had 65% of the ball to Everton's 35%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.74 to 1.56 — on chances, Everton could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southampton and 1.33 for Everton.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Everton?

Southampton 1-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southampton 41%, draw 23%, Everton 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southampton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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