Wolverhampton 2-2 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.35
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.16
X/2
17%
6.06
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.21
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.23/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.19
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.7 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton HAZ
11.05.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-3 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
03.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
25.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.03.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-2
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.53 xG 2.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
389 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton and Crystal Palace couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 57% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 43%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.53 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolverhampton and 2.17 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace?

Wolverhampton 2-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 32%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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