Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Bournemouth
2-1 HT 1-0
Manchester City
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.12
1/2
10%
20.6
1/X
9%
15.7
X/1
11%
11.45
X/2
15%
4.0
X/X
10%
6.28
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.91
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.33/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.07
+7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
17.3 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bournemouth vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.89 xG 1.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
266 Passes 644
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
04.11.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 6-1 HT 3-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
25.02.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
13.08.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 4-0 HT 3-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
24.09.2020 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNLK
15.07.2020 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
2-1
AWAY Manchester City
2.04 xG 1.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
282 Passes 541
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth squeezed past Manchester City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 36% of the ball to Manchester City's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.04 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 3.17 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 28%, draw 25%, Manchester City 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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