Crystal Palace 3-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.94
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
10%
6.79
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.35
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.33/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.10
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-3 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
03.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
25.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.03.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
06.11.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
3-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.28 xG 1.13
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
249 Passes 508
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace saw off Wolverhampton 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 36% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 64%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.28 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton?

Crystal Palace 3-1 Wolverhampton in the Friendlies on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 42%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
1 Aug 2024
02:30 Chelsea vs Club America Analysis →
02:30 Liverpool vs Arsenal Analysis →
03:00 RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa Analysis →
03:30 Real Madrid vs Milan Analysis →
05:00 Manchester United vs Real Betis Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Stuttgart Analysis →