RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.41
2-3 Goals
38%
2.12
4-5 Goals
25%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.55/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.32
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
2-0
AWAY Aston Villa
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig got the better of Aston Villa 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day RB Leipzig made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 55% of the ball to Aston Villa's 45%, shots finished 9-1.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa?

RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa in the Friendlies on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 38%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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