Manchester United 3-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2024

Manchester United
3-2 HT 3-1
Real Betis
📅01/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.89 — our 31% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.52
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.73
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.81
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
14%
5.07
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 7.81 — our 15% vs market 9.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.85/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.44
+1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.7 Crosses 8.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Manchester United vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.79 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
427 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.03.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United AVL
09.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 4-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis AVL
10.12.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United HAZ

Manchester United 3-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
3-2
AWAY Real Betis
2.13 xG 1.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
385 Passes 395
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United edged past Real Betis 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Manchester United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manchester United had 48% of the ball to Real Betis's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Manchester United and 0.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Real Betis?

Manchester United 3-2 Real Betis in the Friendlies on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 40%, draw 25%, Real Betis 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
1 Aug 2024
02:30 Chelsea vs Club America Analysis →
02:30 Liverpool vs Arsenal Analysis →
03:00 Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
03:00 RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa Analysis →
03:30 Real Madrid vs Milan Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Stuttgart Analysis →