Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.68
Over 2.5
57%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.28
No
45%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
9.56
2-3 Goals
33%
2.5
4-5 Goals
32%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
3.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.68
1/2
5%
18.55
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.05
X/1
7%
7.0
X/2
16%
5.62
X/X
9%
7.61
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
22%
2.74
2/X
9%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
74%
-19.0pp
45%
BTTS No
26%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-5
AWAY Stuttgart
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart swept aside Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 47% of the ball to Stuttgart's 53%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Stuttgart?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart in the Friendlies on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 28%, draw 29%, Stuttgart 42%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
1 Aug 2024
02:30 Chelsea vs Club America Analysis →
02:30 Liverpool vs Arsenal Analysis →
03:00 Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
03:00 RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa Analysis →
03:30 Real Madrid vs Milan Analysis →
05:00 Manchester United vs Real Betis Analysis →