Everton vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
1-2
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
2-0
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
3-1
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Everton
İNP
Everton 1-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Everton and Southampton shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Everton had 26% of the ball to Southampton's 74%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Everton vs Southampton?
Everton 1-1 Southampton in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 29%, Southampton 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton) went the other way.