Preston North End 1-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Preston North End
1-1 HT 1-0
Fulham
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - League Cup – 2025/2026

Preston North End vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 34% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.06
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
10.35
X/2
12%
3.95
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.1
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 10.35 — our 12% vs market 6.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+9.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 60%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.17/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.54
-82% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 79%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
17.0 Crosses 9.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Preston North End vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fulham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2022 Fulham Fulham 3-0 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
27.11.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
29.02.2020 Fulham Fulham 2-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
10.12.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
10.03.2018 Preston North End Preston North End 1-2 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
14.10.2017 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 0-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Fulham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 1.83 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Fulham?

Preston North End 1-1 Fulham in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 28%, draw 23%, Fulham 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fulham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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