Manchester United 7-0 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.89
2-3 Goals
36%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
4.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.17
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
20%
3.43
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
7%
13.75
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
8%
34.5
2/X
7%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.3pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+11.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.94
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
496 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
39.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
15.7 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barnsley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
27.10.2009 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
7-0
AWAY Barnsley
4.06 xG 0.07
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
562 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 8
7 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United ran out comfortable winners over Barnsley 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Manchester United had 65% of the ball to Barnsley's 35%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 4.06 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Barnsley?

Manchester United 7-0 Barnsley in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 63%, draw 18%, Barnsley 19%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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