Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Queens Park Rangers
1-2 HT 0-1
Crystal Palace
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
14.35
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
22.3
X/1
8%
17.9
X/2
19%
3.42
X/X
14%
7.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.56
2/X
6%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.5pp
52%
Away Win
71%
-18.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 75%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.75
-100% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -30%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 85%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
18.0 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
257 Passes 205
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
The Meetings
14.03.2015 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 3-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
28.12.2014 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
12.03.2011 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
02.10.2010 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
10.04.2010 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
03.11.2009 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-2
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.66 xG 0.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
348 Passes 509
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace edged past Queens Park Rangers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 43% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 57%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.66 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace?

Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Crystal Palace in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 23%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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