Blackpool 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.08
X/2
15%
6.44
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.31
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.73/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.49
+88% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
48.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
176 Passes 274
57% Pass Accuracy 66%
07.03.2015 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
26.12.2014 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
01.01.2014 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
30.11.2013 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
16.04.2013 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
06.11.2012 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
0-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.30 xG 0.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
286 Passes 430
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday squeezed past Blackpool 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sheffield Wednesday found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackpool had 42% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.30 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Blackpool 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 36%, draw 28%, Sheffield Wednesday 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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