Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Brentford
3-1 HT 3-1
Leyton Orient
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Brentford vs Leyton Orient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
6.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.5
X/1
20%
3.34
X/2
6%
31.5
X/X
8%
9.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
6%
25.5
2/X
6%
31.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Leyton Orient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.86/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
534 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
30.5 Crosses –
0.2 Yellow Cards –

Brentford vs Leyton Orient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
The Meetings
15.03.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İN1
23.09.2013 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
22.01.2013 Brentford Brentford 2-2 HT 2-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
13.09.2012 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İN1
17.03.2012 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 2-0 Brentford Brentford İN1
20.08.2011 Brentford Brentford 5-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1

Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
3-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.48 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
566 Passes 312
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford beat Leyton Orient 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Brentford had 63% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 37%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.48 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brentford and 1.17 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Leyton Orient?

Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient in the England - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brentford 63%, draw 20%, Leyton Orient 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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