Adelaide United II 3-1 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.73/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.83
+9% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adelaide City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
26.04.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
27.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.07.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.04.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-4 HT 1-3 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II beat Adelaide City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide United II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.00 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide United II 3-1 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 41%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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