Ferencvaros 3-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.51
Over
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.02
2-3
43%
1.95
4-5
23%
2.61
6+
10%
6.39
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.02 — our 24% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar The Market 14%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.24/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.91
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
26.7 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
428 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-3 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
20.10.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
10.03.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
12.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.08.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-5 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.04.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
3-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.10 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
437 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 4
29 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ferencvaros ran out comfortable winners over MOL Fehervar 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Ferencvaros had 62% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 38%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.41.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for MOL Fehervar.

Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar Result & Final Score

Ferencvaros 3-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 60%, draw 23%, MOL Fehervar 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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