Shinnik 0-4 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.06/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.01
-8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
28.04.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
23.07.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 3-2 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
12.04.2015 Shinnik Shinnik 2-2 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-4
AWAY Sokol Saratov
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
12 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov ran out comfortable winners over Shinnik 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Shinnik at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Shinnik had 55% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 45%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shinnik and 1.25 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov?

Shinnik 0-4 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 48%, draw 24%, Sokol Saratov 28%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shinnik), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shinnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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