Tyumen 1-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 May 2025

Tyumen
1-2 HT 0-0
Ural
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Tyumen vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tyumen v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.04/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.19
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Tyumen vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ural
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1

Tyumen 1-2 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-2
AWAY Ural
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past Tyumen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tyumen had 43% of the ball to Ural's 57%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Ural?

Tyumen 1-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 28%, draw 24%, Ural 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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