Shinnik 1-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.5pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.15/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/4.04
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / -73%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
23.07.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 3-2 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
12.04.2015 Shinnik Shinnik 2-2 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Sokol Saratov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shinnik as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shinnik had 55% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 45%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sokol Saratov led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shinnik and 2.50 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov?

Shinnik 1-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 41%, draw 24%, Sokol Saratov 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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