Torpedo Moscow 1-2 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Apr 2024

Torpedo Moscow
1-2 HT 0-0
Khimki
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2023/2024

Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torpedo Moscow v Khimki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 51%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.75
+41% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Khimki
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
2.42 xG 2.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.07.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
22.04.2023 Khimki Khimki 4-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
07.08.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-3 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
05.03.2020 Khimki Khimki 5-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
08.09.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1

Torpedo Moscow 1-2 Khimki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-2
AWAY Khimki
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Moscow 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 45% of the ball to Khimki's 55%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khimki led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 2.60 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki?

Torpedo Moscow 1-2 Khimki in the Russia - FNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 32%, draw 28%, Khimki 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ BTTS No
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