Kuban Krasnodar 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Apr 2024

Kuban Krasnodar
1-1 HT 0-1
Neftekhimik
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2023/2024

Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kuban Krasnodar v Neftekhimik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.39/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.22
+29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 1-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
24.07.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
23.04.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-3 HT 0-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
09.10.2021 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1

Kuban Krasnodar 1-1 Neftekhimik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuban Krasnodar and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kuban Krasnodar had 52% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kuban Krasnodar and 1.00 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik?

Kuban Krasnodar 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kuban Krasnodar 29%, draw 31%, Neftekhimik 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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