KAMAZ 1-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Apr 2024

KAMAZ
1-0 HT 0-0
Akron
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.69
+13% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Akron
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.07.2023 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
11.03.2023 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
26.03.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-2 HT 0-1 Akron Akron RUS1
15.09.2021 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ nicked a narrow win over Akron 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Akron at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Akron led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for KAMAZ and 1.50 for Akron.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Akron?

KAMAZ 1-0 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 28%, draw 29%, Akron 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Akron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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