Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 Volgar Astrakhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
+56% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
19.08.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-2 HT 1-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
05.03.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 HT 1-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
14.08.2022 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
06.03.2022 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-3 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
29.08.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Volgar Astrakhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and Volgar Astrakhan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yenisey Krasnoyarsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.67 for Volgar Astrakhan.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 Volgar Astrakhan in the Russia - FNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 46%, draw 28%, Volgar Astrakhan 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
28 Apr 2024
14:00 Shinnik vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
17:00 KAMAZ vs Akron Analysis →
17:00 FK Leningradets vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →
17:00 Arsenal Tula vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Analysis →
18:00 Torpedo Moscow vs Khimki Analysis →
19:00 Kuban Krasnodar vs Neftekhimik Analysis →