Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.40/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.4 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
09.08.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-1 HT 2-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
17.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
06.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
09.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
23.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.94 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
212 Passes 372
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac nicked a narrow win over Radnicki Nis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napredak Krusevac as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 40% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.17 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 43%, draw 25%, Radnicki Nis 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
18 May 2025
18:00 Tekstilac Odzaci vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →
18:00 Jedinstvo Ub vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
18:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →