Nafta 1-6 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

Nafta
1-6 HT 0-4
Celje
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
58%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 58%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.24/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.84
+18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Celje Celje 3-2 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
01.12.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
15.09.2024 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
22.11.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-6
AWAY Celje
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Nafta 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Nafta had 31% of the ball to Celje's 69%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nafta and 1.75 for Celje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Celje?

Nafta 1-6 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nafta 21%, draw 21%, Celje 58%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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