Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BRK
2-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense and Flamengo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 36% of the ball to Flamengo's 64%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.17 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 31%, draw 27%, Flamengo 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 went the other way.