Bragantino 2-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
15%
4.03
X/2
7%
10.55
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
10%
22.25
2/2
7%
8.59
2/X
8%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.81/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.6 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.68 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
429 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2025 Bragantino 4-0 HT 2-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
20.07.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
19.10.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino BR1
24.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
29.09.2019 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
01.06.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-0
AWAY Vitoria
2.95 xG 0.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
254 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino saw off Vitoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bragantino had 49% of the ball to Vitoria's 51%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.95 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bragantino and 0.50 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Bragantino 2-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 58%, draw 23%, Vitoria 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino)
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