Bragantino 4-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Dec 2025

Bragantino
4-0 HT 2-0
Vitoria
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.31
X/2
7%
8.72
X/X
15%
4.41
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
9%
7.29
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.62/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.01
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
24.6 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6

Bragantino vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
19.10.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino BR1
24.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
29.09.2019 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
01.06.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR2
02.09.2015 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2

Bragantino 4-0 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
4-0
AWAY Vitoria
2.48 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
393 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino ran out comfortable winners over Vitoria 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 56% of the ball to Vitoria's 44%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.48 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 0.67 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Bragantino 4-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 49%, draw 30%, Vitoria 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
4 Dec 2025
01:00 Fortaleza vs Corinthians Analysis →
01:30 Juventude vs Santos Analysis →
02:00 Sao Paulo vs Internacional Analysis →
02:00 Bahia vs Sport Recife Analysis →
03:30 Flamengo vs Ceara Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Analysis →