Flamengo vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Ceara
BR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Flamengo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Ceara
BR1
Flamengo 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Ceara 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Flamengo had 69% of the ball to Ceara's 31%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 1.52 to 0.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 1.33 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Ceara?
Flamengo 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 66%, draw 19%, Ceara 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.