Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jul 2025

Vitoria
1-0 HT 1-0
Bragantino
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Vitoria vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.22
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.7
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
10%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.13
X/X
13%
3.61
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.83
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.51/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
26.3 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Vitoria vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bragantino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.52 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
288 Passes 417
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino BR1
24.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
29.09.2019 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
01.06.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR2
02.09.2015 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
23.05.2015 Vitoria Vitoria 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR2

Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1-0
AWAY Bragantino
0.29 xG 1.32
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
170 Passes 513
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vitoria had 28% of the ball to Bragantino's 72%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.29 to 1.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bragantino.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Bragantino?

Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 41%, draw 29%, Bragantino 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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