Mirassol FC 3-0 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
18%
5.42
X/2
10%
5.63
X/X
10%
3.77
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
4.27
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 37%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.26
+100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.2 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
349 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Santos Santos 3-2 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
26.06.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR2
12.02.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
15.01.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
18.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-2 HT 3-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
08.03.2020 Santos Santos 3-1 HT 3-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-0
AWAY Santos
1.79 xG 0.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
310 Passes 419
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC swept aside Santos 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Mirassol FC made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 44% of the ball to Santos's 56%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mirassol FC and 2.00 for Santos.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Santos?

Mirassol FC 3-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 40%, draw 26%, Santos 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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