Internacional 1-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.15
X/1
16%
3.82
X/2
6%
10.9
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
9%
10.2
2/X
8%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.9 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ceara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.49 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
03.07.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
07.10.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.06.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
08.01.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.09.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-0
AWAY Ceara
1.53 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past Ceara 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Internacional had 46% of the ball to Ceara's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Internacional and 0.50 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Ceara?

Internacional 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Internacional 52%, draw 26%, Ceara 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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