Sport Recife vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
BR1
1-2
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-2
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR1
Sport Recife 0-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Sport Recife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sport Recife had 41% of the ball to Botafogo's 59%, shots finished 12-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.50 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Botafogo?
Sport Recife 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 27%, draw 29%, Botafogo 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.