Cruzeiro 4-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.62
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
20.95
X/1
18%
3.66
X/2
5%
17.4
X/X
10%
6.08
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
16.6
2/X
5%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.71/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.90
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -27%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.5 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Juventude
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
25.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
17.01.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
17.10.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
06.09.2007 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
11.06.2007 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-3 HT 1-2 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
4-0
AWAY Juventude
2.75 xG 0.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
269 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro ran out comfortable winners over Juventude 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 48% of the ball to Juventude's 52%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Juventude?

Cruzeiro 4-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 58%, draw 24%, Juventude 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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