Montana 0-2 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
64%
Away Win
71%
-7.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 75%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Spartak Varna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2026 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Montana Montana BUL1
19.09.2025 Montana Montana 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
POST-MATCH Montana vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna beat Montana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montana and 1.50 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Montana 0-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Montana 16%, draw 20%, Spartak Varna 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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