PFC Beroe 0-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.34/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
+27% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
11.08.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-3 HT 1-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
24.11.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
22.07.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
12.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia squeezed past PFC Beroe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Septemvri Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 52% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.40 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?

PFC Beroe 0-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 38%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PFC Beroe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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