Daegu 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.87
1/2 EV+ ✓
8%
22.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
10%
8.22
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.5
2/X
10%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.0 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.93/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.32
+113% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
14.7 Crosses 23.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 387
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 2-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
16.08.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
16.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
28.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
2-3
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
192 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over Daegu 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Daegu had 37% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 63%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Daegu and 1.00 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Daegu 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Daegu 27%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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