Suwon City 2-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
12%
6.25
X/2
9%
5.35
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.5
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.48/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.70
+28% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses 16.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 427
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.02.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
27.07.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
25.06.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
27.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
22.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
2-1
AWAY Gwangju
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
268 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Suwon City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Suwon City had 42% of the ball to Gwangju's 58%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suwon City and 0.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Suwon City 2-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 38%, draw 32%, Gwangju 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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