Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Jul 2025

Sarpsborg 08
2-2 HT 1-2
Rosenborg
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.92
X/2
14%
6.24
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
15%
3.8
2/X
10%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarpsborg 08 v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.31/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.21
-26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
21.9 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rosenborg
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
349 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.06.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
23.11.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-1 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
08.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 5-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
25.06.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-3 HT 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.11.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-3 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR

Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2-2
AWAY Rosenborg
2.13 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
427 Passes 382
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
47 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 53% of the ball to Rosenborg's 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.17 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?

Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 37%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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