Criciuma 2-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.63/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.22
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
24.3 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.15 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
10.06.2025 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.08.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
13.05.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
05.10.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.06.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
2-0
AWAY Vila Nova
0.55 xG 0.56
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
163 Passes 274
8 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma beat Vila Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.55 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 0.33 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Vila Nova?

Criciuma 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 53%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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