Brest 2-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 20%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.59/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.71
-71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Concarneau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.07.2025 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-0 Brest Brest HAZ
02.12.2017 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FRK
POST-MATCH Brest vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest and Concarneau couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brest at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brest and 1.50 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Brest vs Concarneau?

Brest 2-2 Concarneau in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brest 58%, draw 22%, Concarneau 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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