Sporting Braga 2-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

Sporting Braga
2-2
Celta Vigo
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1 EV+
30%
4.22
X/2
7%
9.92
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
8%
23.1
2/2
9%
7.93
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Braga v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.89
+24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.07.2025 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo HAZ
29.07.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo HAZ
27.07.2018 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo HAZ
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga and Celta Vigo shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.67 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo?

Sporting Braga 2-2 Celta Vigo in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 54%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Braga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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