Deportivo Moquegua 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moquegua EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.76/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.35
+51% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.0 Crosses 6.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moquegua
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.19 xG 0.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
183 Passes 157
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2026 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moquegua PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Moquegua
2-2
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.60 xG 2.32
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
204 Passes 355
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.60 to 2.32.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Deportivo Moquegua 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moquegua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moquegua 39%, draw 31%, Comerciantes Unidos 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Moquegua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moquegua) ✓ BTTS Yes
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