Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cienciano 1-3 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar got the better of Cienciano 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.19 to 2.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cienciano and 1.67 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Melgar?
Cienciano 1-3 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 46%, draw 26%, Melgar 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5 went the other way.