Atletico Grau 3-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.65/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.6 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
3W-0D-3L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
352 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2026 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
19.10.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
13.06.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
30.09.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.09.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.91 xG 0.60
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
224 Passes 429
22 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau saw off UTC Cajamarca 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.50 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Atletico Grau 3-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 50%, draw 26%, UTC Cajamarca 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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