UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.56/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.40
+10% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.6 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
182 Passes 331
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
13.06.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
30.09.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.09.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.34 xG 0.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
263 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
3 Box Touches 5
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca saw off Atletico Grau 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 45% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 55%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 2.17 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?

UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Grau 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5
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