Sport Huancayo 1-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.34/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.16
-1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2025 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
15.06.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
23.10.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-1 HT 2-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.05.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
17.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.03.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.61 xG 0.98
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
384 Passes 189
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima squeezed past Sport Huancayo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Huancayo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 63% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 37%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.33 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Sport Huancayo 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 41%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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